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Red199
69567.3
93066.9
248164.1
Blue193
353862.5
38459.4
364162.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199178100150250300199193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#8
67.30.6
65.365.9
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
red by 4.7
3538
#19
62.51.2
61.963.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
Second
930
#10
66.90.6
69.570.1
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
red by 4.8
3641
#17
62.11.2
57.458.6
Auto13.0
Teleop38.9
End8.2
Third
64.10.6
61.261.9
Auto15.4
Teleop37.7
End9.0
red by 4.7
384
#22
59.41.2
57.859.1
Auto14.6
Teleop35.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned