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Red176
11176.4
261455.0
463550.4
Blue181
335761.6
368362.5
548446.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174173140150160180190200176181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#5
76.41.1
70.571.6
Auto18.6
Teleop43.6
End10.9
red by 13.8
3683
#18
62.51.1
59.860.8
Auto14.5
Teleop37.9
End7.6
Second
2614
#37
55.01.1
46.948.0
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End7.8
blue by 6.6
3357
#20
61.61.1
61.462.5
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Third
4635
#48
50.41.1
50.651.7
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End7.7
red by 3.5
5484
#29
46.91.1
48.349.4
Auto15.0
Teleop24.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned