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Red177
501051.4
571255.0
46951.4
Blue188
394054.7
608153.3
402865.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15417450100200177188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#41
55.01.6
51.553.1
Auto13.3
Teleop31.5
End8.3
blue by 10.6
4028
#44
65.61.4
65.266.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.3
End7.6
Second
469
#64
51.41.6
47.549.1
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End7.9
blue by 3.3
3940
#53
54.71.4
51.452.8
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
Third
5010
#52
51.41.6
50.151.8
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End7.8
blue by 1.9
6081
#23
53.31.4
51.052.4
Auto15.7
Teleop27.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned