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Red142
46161.9
198766.2
317641.8
Blue135
11865.7
365553.7
32546.8
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170185100120140160200220240142135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#33
66.21.7
65.363.6
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 0.5
118
#26
65.75.0
67.562.5
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
Second
461
#21
61.91.7
61.159.4
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
red by 8.2
3655
#49
53.73.5
59.255.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.2
End7.6
Third
3176
#56
41.81.7
41.339.6
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End3.7
blue by 5.0
325
#65
46.83.5
52.849.3
Auto13.3
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsMissed