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Red190
721160.0
253968.3
403960.6
Blue196
745758.3
364162.1
402865.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185183140160200220190196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.30.7
66.467.1
Auto14.2
Teleop43.3
End9.0
red by 2.7
4028
#44
65.61.5
61.763.2
Auto17.5
Teleop38.3
End7.6
Second
4039
#43
60.60.7
58.359.0
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End9.4
blue by 1.5
3641
#17
62.11.5
60.261.7
Auto13.0
Teleop38.9
End8.2
Third
7211
#61
60.00.7
56.457.1
Auto16.6
Teleop33.0
End8.6
red by 1.7
7457
#16
58.31.5
57.659.2
Auto12.7
Teleop37.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned