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Red136
164633.8
409645.1
427059.7
Blue181
46161.9
463550.4
11865.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138176050100200250300136181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#27
59.70.0
58.558.5
Auto13.8
Teleop34.2
End10.7
blue by 6.0
118
#26
65.71.3
61.963.2
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
Second
4096
#62
45.10.0
43.643.6
Auto11.5
Teleop22.7
End9.4
blue by 16.8
461
#21
61.91.3
59.961.2
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
Third
1646
#69
33.80.0
35.035.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
blue by 16.6
4635
#48
50.41.3
46.748.0
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned