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Red161
546062.0
169064.9
467867.9
Blue186
173163.6
93066.9
170663.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194194170180190200161186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#59
67.91.6
69.067.4
Auto18.5
Teleop38.6
End6.3
red by 1.0
930
#10
66.90.1
69.169.1
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
Second
1690
#31
64.91.6
66.164.5
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3
red by 1.0
63.80.1
63.163.2
Auto14.5
Teleop40.8
End8.0
Third
5460
#60
62.01.6
62.961.2
Auto14.1
Teleop36.9
End8.6
blue by 1.5
1731
#24
63.60.1
60.360.4
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned