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Red171
22643.5
608153.3
427256.5
Blue206
789061.3
156150.3
291075.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15219050100250171206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#40
56.51.3
53.855.1
Auto14.6
Teleop32.3
End7.3
blue by 19.2
75.71.8
74.776.4
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
Second
6081
#23
53.31.3
52.453.7
Auto15.7
Teleop27.4
End9.6
blue by 8.0
7890
#14
61.31.8
58.560.2
Auto16.2
Teleop33.7
End8.9
Third
226
#68
43.51.3
41.642.8
Auto10.1
Teleop27.2
End6.9
blue by 6.8
1561
#51
50.31.8
47.349.0
Auto13.8
Teleop29.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned