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Red177
335761.6
102351.3
571255.0
Blue188
174654.1
192360.8
276766.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17019250100150250300177188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#20
61.60.7
61.662.3
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End11.0
blue by 4.4
2767
#45
66.00.3
65.866.2
Auto17.5
Teleop36.9
End9.9
Second
5712
#41
55.00.7
53.954.6
Auto13.3
Teleop31.5
End8.3
blue by 5.8
1923
#32
60.80.3
59.960.2
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
Third
1023
#47
51.30.7
48.549.1
Auto12.6
Teleop29.7
End10.0
blue by 2.8
1746
#42
54.10.3
52.753.0
Auto11.2
Teleop35.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned