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Red151
449962.9
317641.8
394054.7
Blue159
414365.9
548446.9
69567.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15318850100200250151159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#55
62.90.2
60.961.1
Auto16.6
Teleop35.7
End6.7
blue by 4.4
695
#8
67.30.9
65.364.4
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
Second
3940
#53
54.70.2
52.853.0
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
blue by 11.2
65.90.9
64.563.5
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Third
3176
#56
41.80.2
40.640.8
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End3.7
blue by 5.1
5484
#29
46.90.9
47.746.8
Auto15.0
Teleop24.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned