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Red191
590754.3
364162.1
102351.3
Blue172
789061.3
32546.8
5160.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172171140150160180190200210191172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#17
62.12.0
61.763.6
Auto13.0
Teleop38.9
End8.2
red by 0.8
7890
#14
61.30.7
60.260.9
Auto16.2
Teleop33.7
End8.9
Second
5907
#28
54.32.0
52.054.0
Auto15.4
Teleop28.3
End8.7
blue by 6.0
51
#54
60.30.7
60.661.3
Auto14.0
Teleop34.1
End9.6
Third
1023
#47
51.32.0
49.151.1
Auto12.6
Teleop29.7
End10.0
red by 4.5
325
#65
46.80.7
47.147.7
Auto13.3
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned