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Red226
317641.8
353862.5
156150.3
Blue162
335761.6
164633.8
467867.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15716950100200250226162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#19
62.52.0
60.562.4
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
blue by 5.4
4678
#59
67.90.3
67.467.7
Auto18.5
Teleop38.6
End6.3
Second
1561
#51
50.32.0
49.051.0
Auto13.8
Teleop29.7
End8.0
blue by 11.2
3357
#20
61.60.3
62.362.6
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Third
3176
#56
41.82.0
40.842.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End3.7
red by 8.0
1646
#69
33.80.3
35.035.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed