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Red230
173250.8
18060.0
233865.4
Blue168
368362.5
449962.9
174654.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174179100120140160200220240230168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#11
65.41.6
63.465.0
Auto14.8
Teleop38.7
End8.6
red by 2.5
4499
#55
62.90.3
61.160.8
Auto16.6
Teleop35.7
End6.7
Second
180
#9
60.01.6
59.160.7
Auto16.4
Teleop32.8
End9.9
blue by 2.6
3683
#18
62.50.3
62.462.1
Auto14.5
Teleop37.9
End7.6
Third
1732
#58
50.81.6
49.250.8
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End7.1
blue by 3.3
1746
#42
54.10.3
53.052.7
Auto11.2
Teleop35.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned