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Red177
198766.2
571255.0
463550.4
Blue166
414365.9
23445.0
318458.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174164050100200250300350400177166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#33
66.20.3
66.466.7
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 0.3
65.90.7
63.564.2
Auto17.0
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
5712
#41
55.00.3
54.654.9
Auto13.3
Teleop31.5
End8.3
blue by 3.1
3184
#25
58.10.7
56.056.7
Auto14.5
Teleop32.1
End7.4
Third
4635
#48
50.40.3
48.048.3
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End7.7
red by 5.3
234
#30
45.00.7
44.244.9
Auto13.2
Teleop23.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned