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Red171
513545.4
157768.6
169060.0
Blue169
598757.0
599047.5
331637.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180145100200250171169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.0
68.668.6
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
red by 11.6
57.00.6
56.457.0
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
Second
60.00.0
59.960.0
Auto16.4
Teleop34.2
End8.2
red by 12.5
47.50.6
46.847.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Third
5135
#12
45.40.0
45.345.4
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
red by 7.5
3316
#34
37.80.6
37.237.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2