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Red169
513545.4
157768.6
169060.0
Blue163
598757.0
599047.5
331637.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180143100200169163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.1
68.568.6
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
red by 11.6
57.00.5
55.856.4
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
Second
60.00.1
59.859.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.2
End8.2
red by 12.5
47.50.5
46.346.8
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Third
5135
#12
45.40.1
45.245.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
red by 7.5
3316
#34
37.80.5
36.637.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2