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Red64
209644.6
165739.3
331637.8
Blue122
571541.2
703945.6
563536.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291195010015020064122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#22
44.64.0
42.238.2
Auto12.7
Teleop25.0
End6.4
blue by 1.1
7039
#16
45.60.6
46.346.9
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
Second
1657
#45
39.34.0
39.535.5
Auto8.2
Teleop25.3
End5.6
blue by 1.9
41.20.6
35.235.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
Third
3316
#34
37.84.0
37.733.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2
red by 1.7
5635
#28
36.10.6
31.632.2
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned