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Red132
599047.5
673836.5
221238.8
Blue92
321142.1
193726.4
194324.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112885010015020013292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.6
37.739.3
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
red by 5.3
3211
#18
42.10.1
36.436.5
Auto15.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Second
2212
#11
38.81.6
32.434.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End6.3
red by 12.4
1937
#44
26.40.1
25.926.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
Third
6738
#26
36.51.6
32.333.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.1
End8.7
red by 12.2
1943
#27
24.30.1
23.423.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned