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Red129
333951.8
561443.2
306540.0
Blue111
433829.5
169060.0
930324.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810250150200129111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#15
51.80.2
48.448.5
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
blue by 8.2
60.00.8
56.257.0
Auto16.4
Teleop34.2
End8.2
Second
5614
#13
43.20.2
37.537.7
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
red by 13.7
4338
#38
29.50.8
21.222.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Third
3065
#20
40.00.2
30.831.0
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3
red by 16.0
9303
#33
24.10.8
21.522.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed