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Red87
432028.7
458633.3
431926.5
Blue97
209644.6
817529.9
267929.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84980501502008797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#31
33.30.4
29.429.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End8.7
blue by 11.3
2096
#22
44.60.5
38.238.6
Auto12.7
Teleop25.0
End6.4
Second
4320
#25Sur
28.70.4
23.523.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
blue by 1.1
8175
#37Sur
29.90.5
25.325.8
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Third
4319
#42
26.50.4
27.728.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.4
End6.4
blue by 2.8
2679
#40
29.30.5
26.527.0
Auto10.4
Teleop12.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed