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Red113
223151.6
263054.4
592826.7
Blue112
165739.3
599047.5
563536.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126112050100150200113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.2
48.248.0
Auto15.3
Teleop31.0
End7.7
red by 6.9
47.50.3
39.339.6
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Second
2231
#6Sur
51.60.2
42.842.5
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
red by 12.3
1657
#45
39.30.3
35.535.8
Auto8.2
Teleop25.3
End5.6
Third
5928
#39
26.70.2
25.425.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.7
End4.2
blue by 9.4
5635
#28
36.10.3
32.232.6
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed