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Red102
221238.8
193726.4
333951.8
Blue111
784548.7
571541.2
561443.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141266080100140160180102111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#15
51.80.4
48.548.1
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
red by 3.1
7845
#10
48.70.7
43.342.6
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End9.0
Second
2212
#11
38.80.4
34.033.6
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End6.3
blue by 4.5
5614
#13
43.20.7
37.736.9
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
Third
1937
#44
26.40.4
26.025.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
blue by 14.8
41.20.7
35.835.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned