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Red129
598757.0
308322.1
563536.1
Blue170
307545.2
571541.2
157768.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10015650200129170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.01.5
50.652.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
blue by 11.6
68.61.4
64.666.0
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
Second
5635
#28
36.11.5
32.634.1
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
blue by 9.1
3075
#23
45.21.4
45.046.3
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.5
Third
3083
#35
22.11.5
17.819.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End5.3
blue by 19.1
41.21.4
35.136.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned