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Red113
513545.4
616841.5
306540.0
Blue125
610425.5
711228.2
599047.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1268550100150200113125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#12
45.40.0
40.640.5
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
blue by 2.1
47.52.0
39.641.6
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Second
6168
#32
41.50.0
40.940.9
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End5.7
red by 13.4
7112
#30
28.22.0
26.628.6
Auto11.3
Teleop8.3
End8.7
Third
3065
#20
40.00.0
31.731.7
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3
red by 14.5
6104
#43
25.52.0
18.620.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned