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Red130
431926.5
223151.6
706737.2
Blue105
616841.5
432028.7
331637.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010650150200130105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.8
41.143.0
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
red by 10.1
6168
#32
41.50.3
41.341.6
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End5.7
Second
7067
#24
37.21.8
35.537.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End8.6
blue by 0.6
3316
#34
37.80.3
37.437.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2
Third
4319
#42
26.51.8
26.027.8
Auto10.8
Teleop9.4
End6.4
blue by 2.3
4320
#25
28.70.3
21.521.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed