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Red111
263054.4
563536.1
930324.1
Blue129
817529.9
157450.8
338841.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102113050150200111129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.9
45.646.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.0
End7.7
red by 3.6
50.81.6
43.344.9
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
Second
5635
#28
36.10.9
30.731.6
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
blue by 5.8
3388
#17
41.91.6
37.338.9
Auto9.1
Teleop23.4
End9.4
Third
9303
#33
24.10.9
20.521.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
blue by 5.8
8175
#37
29.91.6
24.225.9
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned