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Red128
599047.5
817529.9
157632.0
Blue129
706737.2
616841.5
561443.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012850150200128129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.2
41.642.9
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
red by 4.2
5614
#13
43.20.5
38.839.3
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
Second
1576
#29
32.01.2
28.830.1
Auto9.6
Teleop14.6
End7.9
blue by 9.6
6168
#32
41.50.5
40.941.4
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End5.7
Third
8175
#37
29.91.2
27.228.4
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
blue by 7.4
7067
#24
37.20.5
36.837.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned