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Red143
458633.3
157450.8
194239.8
Blue83
592826.7
930324.1
565446.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123915010015020014383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.4
45.046.4
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
red by 4.6
46.20.4
44.343.9
Auto8.3
Teleop29.5
End8.2
Second
1942
#19
39.81.4
36.137.6
Auto9.3
Teleop24.0
End6.5
red by 13.1
5928
#39
26.70.4
24.624.2
Auto10.0
Teleop12.7
End4.2
Third
4586
#31
33.31.4
30.331.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End8.7
red by 9.2
9303
#33
24.10.4
20.820.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned