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Red126
432028.7
307545.2
784548.7
Blue142
561443.2
459040.5
599047.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211336080100140160180200126142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#10
48.70.0
44.844.7
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 1.2
47.50.6
42.943.4
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Second
3075
#23
45.20.0
43.443.4
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.5
red by 1.9
5614
#13
43.20.6
39.339.8
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
Third
4320
#25
28.70.0
26.526.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
blue by 11.7
4590
#14
40.50.6
41.942.4
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned