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Red139
592826.7
157768.6
817529.9
Blue112
321142.1
267929.3
306540.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110250150200139112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.7
66.467.0
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
red by 26.5
3211
#18
42.10.2
37.737.9
Auto15.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Second
8175
#37
29.90.7
28.429.1
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
blue by 10.2
3065
#20
40.00.2
33.433.6
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Third
5928
#39
26.70.7
24.224.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.7
End4.2
blue by 2.6
2679
#40
29.30.2
28.328.4
Auto10.4
Teleop12.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed