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Red122
307545.2
165739.3
673836.5
Blue102
459040.5
592826.7
706737.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711150100150200122102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#23
45.20.0
44.444.3
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.5
red by 4.7
4590
#14
40.50.6
42.441.8
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.3
Second
1657
#45
39.30.0
38.338.3
Auto8.2
Teleop25.3
End5.6
red by 2.1
7067
#24
37.20.6
38.537.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Third
6738
#26
36.50.0
34.634.6
Auto8.9
Teleop19.1
End8.7
red by 9.8
5928
#39
26.70.6
25.424.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned