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Red113
571541.2
458633.3
221238.8
Blue98
157632.0
338841.9
610425.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11810240608014016018011398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.3
38.739.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
blue by 0.7
3388
#17
41.90.3
42.442.0
Auto9.1
Teleop23.4
End9.4
Second
2212
#11
38.80.3
36.837.1
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End6.3
red by 6.8
1576
#29
32.00.3
32.031.7
Auto9.6
Teleop14.6
End7.9
Third
4586
#31
33.30.3
33.233.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End8.7
red by 7.7
6104
#43
25.50.3
23.423.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned