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Red126
223151.6
194324.3
333951.8
Blue112
466121.9
565446.2
513545.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341126080100120160180200126112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#15
51.80.5
50.049.5
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
red by 5.6
46.20.3
45.345.6
Auto8.3
Teleop29.5
End8.2
Second
51.60.5
48.748.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
red by 6.2
5135
#12
45.40.3
41.842.0
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
Third
1943
#27
24.30.5
25.625.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.6
End4.8
red by 2.4
4661
#36
21.90.3
21.021.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned