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Red124
555431.8
561443.2
930324.1
Blue126
711228.2
431926.5
157768.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93140406080120160180200124126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#13
43.22.1
39.341.4
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
blue by 25.4
68.60.1
67.867.9
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
Second
5554
#41
31.82.1
32.534.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
red by 3.7
7112
#30
28.20.1
30.730.7
Auto11.3
Teleop8.3
End8.7
Third
9303
#33
24.12.1
21.323.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
blue by 2.4
4319
#42
26.50.1
26.526.6
Auto10.8
Teleop9.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned