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Red150
563536.1
784548.7
157450.8
Blue138
616841.5
223044.4
209644.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213080100120160180200150138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.9
48.649.5
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
red by 6.2
2096
#22
44.60.2
39.138.9
Auto12.7
Teleop25.0
End6.4
Second
7845
#10
48.70.9
45.846.6
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 4.3
2230
#21
44.40.2
45.745.5
Auto13.6
Teleop24.0
End6.7
Third
5635
#28
36.10.9
37.738.5
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
blue by 5.4
6168
#32
41.50.2
42.442.2
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed