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Red118
784548.7
930324.1
321142.1
Blue162
598757.0
209644.6
223151.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141446080100160180200220118162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#10
48.70.3
46.646.3
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End9.0
blue by 8.3
57.02.0
49.251.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
Second
3211
#18
42.10.3
40.440.1
Auto15.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
blue by 9.5
51.62.0
48.350.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
Third
9303
#33
24.10.3
23.423.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
blue by 20.5
2096
#22
44.62.0
38.940.9
Auto12.7
Teleop25.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned