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Red118
431926.5
433829.5
331637.8
Blue124
308322.1
223044.4
565446.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112520406080100140160180118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#34
37.80.8
34.034.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2
blue by 8.4
46.20.7
45.646.3
Auto8.3
Teleop29.5
End8.2
Second
4338
#38
29.50.8
28.829.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
blue by 14.9
2230
#21
44.40.7
45.546.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.0
End6.7
Third
4319
#42
26.50.8
26.627.3
Auto10.8
Teleop9.4
End6.4
red by 4.3
3083
#35
22.10.7
22.022.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned