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Red89
706737.2
563536.1
194324.3
Blue111
458633.3
306540.0
193726.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081045015020089111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7067
#24
37.21.1
37.936.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End8.6
blue by 2.8
3065
#20
40.00.5
38.639.1
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Second
5635
#28
36.11.1
38.537.4
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
red by 2.8
4586
#31
33.30.5
33.534.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End8.7
Third
1943
#27
24.31.1
24.423.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.6
End4.8
blue by 2.1
1937
#44
26.40.5
25.826.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned