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Red142
513545.4
307545.2
157632.0
Blue109
703945.6
930324.1
817529.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410250150200142109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#12
45.40.1
43.843.7
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
blue by 0.3
7039
#16
45.60.1
46.646.5
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
Second
3075
#23
45.20.1
45.345.2
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.5
red by 15.3
8175
#37
29.90.1
30.330.2
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Third
1576
#29
32.00.1
32.432.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.6
End7.9
red by 7.9
9303
#33
24.10.1
23.123.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned