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Red141
157450.8
223151.6
555431.8
Blue149
333951.8
194239.8
321142.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139138120130150160141149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.7
50.351.0
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
blue by 0.2
3339
#15
51.81.3
50.251.5
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
Second
50.80.7
49.350.1
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
red by 8.7
3211
#18
42.11.3
40.141.4
Auto15.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Third
5554
#41
31.80.7
31.932.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
blue by 8.0
1942
#19
39.81.3
39.140.4
Auto9.3
Teleop24.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed