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Red143
331637.8
599047.5
598757.0
Blue145
703945.6
223151.6
306540.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141146100120160180143145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.00.2
54.054.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
red by 5.4
51.60.2
51.451.6
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
Second
47.50.2
44.444.6
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
red by 1.8
7039
#16
45.60.2
45.545.7
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
Third
3316
#34
37.80.2
34.735.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2
blue by 2.2
3065
#20
40.00.2
39.940.1
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3