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Red149
673836.5
263054.4
333951.8
Blue151
571541.2
194239.8
561443.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156127100200149151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.2
54.854.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.0
End7.7
red by 11.1
5614
#13
43.20.6
42.843.4
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
Second
3339
#15
51.80.2
52.352.1
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
red by 10.6
41.20.6
40.741.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
Third
6738
#26
36.50.2
36.936.7
Auto8.9
Teleop19.1
End8.7
blue by 3.3
1942
#19
39.80.6
39.340.0
Auto9.3
Teleop24.0
End6.5