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Red142
221238.8
459040.5
784548.7
Blue178
598757.0
599047.5
331637.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134144100120160180200142178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#10
48.70.3
48.448.7
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End9.0
blue by 8.3
57.00.8
54.254.9
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
Second
4590
#14
40.50.3
40.140.5
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.3
blue by 7.0
47.50.8
44.645.4
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Third
2212
#11
38.80.3
38.438.8
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End6.3
red by 1.0
3316
#34
37.80.8
35.035.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2