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Red190
513545.4
157768.6
169060.0
Blue145
703945.6
223151.6
306540.0
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178141100150200250190145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.2
68.068.2
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
red by 17.0
51.60.2
51.651.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
Second
60.00.2
59.359.5
Auto16.4
Teleop34.2
End8.2
red by 14.3
7039
#16
45.60.2
45.745.8
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
Third
5135
#12
45.40.2
44.744.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
red by 5.3
3065
#20
40.00.2
40.140.3
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3