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Red129
561443.2
194239.8
571541.2
Blue151
157450.8
307545.2
563536.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13214180100120160180200129151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#13
43.20.1
43.443.5
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End8.0
blue by 7.6
50.80.4
50.550.9
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
Second
41.20.1
41.341.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
blue by 4.0
3075
#23
45.20.4
44.845.3
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.5
Third
1942
#19
39.80.1
40.040.1
Auto9.3
Teleop24.0
End6.5
red by 3.7
5635
#28
36.10.4
35.736.2
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0