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Red138
306540.0
223151.6
703945.6
Blue144
223044.4
565446.2
321142.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813950100200138144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.2
51.851.6
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
red by 5.4
46.20.2
45.946.0
Auto8.3
Teleop29.5
End8.2
Second
7039
#16
45.60.2
45.845.6
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
red by 1.2
2230
#21
44.40.2
44.144.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.0
End6.7
Third
3065
#20
40.00.2
40.340.0
Auto9.4
Teleop24.4
End6.3
blue by 2.1
3211
#18
42.10.2
41.842.0
Auto15.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0