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Red141
157616.3
157756.4
169054.0
Blue42
263032.7
599021.6
194315.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143655010020014142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.3
55.655.9
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 23.7
32.70.6
33.332.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
Second
54.00.3
53.253.4
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End10.2
red by 32.3
21.60.6
22.321.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Third
1576
#16
16.30.3
15.415.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 1.3
1943
#23
15.00.6
15.615.0
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End6.1