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Red80
431922.8
433818.8
338820.3
Blue98
513525.3
466119.5
223025.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637620401001201408098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4319
#13
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto8.4
Teleop9.0
End5.4
blue by 2.5
25.30.5
25.125.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End7.0
Second
3388
#17
20.30.4
19.920.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
blue by 4.8
2230
#10
25.10.5
24.925.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Third
4338
#15
18.80.4
18.418.8
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End8.0
blue by 0.6
4661
#21
19.50.5
19.319.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End4.0