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Red53
555413.9
209624.0
616829.7
Blue78
706723.4
321121.3
308315.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7559020401001201401605378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#12
29.70.3
30.029.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End6.7
red by 6.3
23.40.3
22.723.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End9.1
Second
24.00.3
24.424.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End7.2
red by 2.8
21.30.3
20.620.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End6.3
Third
5554
#25
13.90.3
14.313.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End4.3
blue by 1.1
3083
#20
15.10.3
14.414.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6