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Red112
711212.0
703934.7
333941.0
Blue110
223136.5
784535.4
592816.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9093406080100120140160112110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.4
40.140.5
Auto11.1
Teleop21.2
End8.6
red by 4.5
36.50.3
36.236.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.1
End9.8
Second
34.70.4
33.934.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.4
blue by 0.7
35.40.3
35.135.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
Third
7112
#23
12.00.4
11.111.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 4.0
5928
#21
16.00.3
15.716.0
Auto7.9
Teleop3.1
End5.1